CD Padura vs Deportivo Alavés C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
17º
16º
23
8º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
41 | 72 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
84.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 1
CDV
10%
24%
65%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
CDP
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
URD
2 - 0
CDP
37%
27%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
CDT
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 2
DAC
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 0
DAC
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
DAC
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 3
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |