Monzon vs Atlético Aguilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 4
MON
35%
21%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JOP
2 - 7
MON
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
MON
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
ATA
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VDB
2 - 2
ATA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 2
VIL
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
ATA
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |