CD Monte vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
18º
18º
16
8º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 67 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CUL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAY
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 2
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
0 - 3
CAY
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
NAV
33%
26%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |