Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-4
CD Melipilla vs Everton Viña del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 3
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
CDM
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
EVE
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCH
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
EVE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 0
DCO
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EVE
3 - 3
CSL
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |