CD Málaga vs Real Burgos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
TER
2 - 1
MAL
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ELC
0 - 1
MAL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
MAL
2 - 2
OVI
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
RMC
1 - 3
MAL
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RBU
0 - 0
ELC
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
OVI
1 - 0
RBU
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RBU
3 - 2
RMC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LLE
4 - 0
RBU
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
RBU
1 - 1
CFC
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |