Serie B Temporada Regular round 16

Leones vs Chacaritas analysis

Leones Chacaritas
55 ELO 64
-5.1% Tilt -6.7%
44739º General ELO ranking 42058º
97º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Leones
29.1%
Draw
37.8%
Chacaritas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
Leones
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.8%
Win probability
Chacaritas
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leones
+36%
-37%
Chacaritas

Points and table prediction

Leones
Their league position
Chacaritas
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
10º
28
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vinotinto Ecuador
69
69
100%
Manta
60
60
100%
Guayaquil City
59
59
100%
Independiente Juniors
57
57
100%
9 de Octubre
47
47
100%
Gualaceo
47
47
100%
San Antonio
44
44
100%
Leones
37
37
100%
Vargas Torres
33
33
100%
Chacaritas
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leones
Chacaritas
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Leones
Chacaritas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leones
Leones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2024
ESA
San Antonio
0 - 1
Leones
LFC
44%
26%
30%
53 55 2 0
10 Jun. 2024
LFC
Leones
0 - 1
Gualaceo
GUA
28%
28%
44%
53 69 16 0
05 Jun. 2024
MAN
Manta
3 - 1
Leones
LFC
58%
25%
17%
53 72 19 0
30 May. 2024
LFC
Leones
0 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
26%
27%
48%
53 71 18 0
23 May. 2024
LFC
Leones
2 - 2
Vargas Torres
CSV
31%
29%
40%
52 64 12 +1

Matches

Chacaritas
Chacaritas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2024
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 4
9 de Octubre
OCT
37%
27%
37%
66 70 4 0
09 Jun. 2024
INJ
Independiente Juniors
1 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
62%
23%
15%
66 74 8 0
07 Jun. 2024
ESA
San Antonio
1 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
31%
30%
40%
66 54 12 0
29 May. 2024
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 2
Vinotinto Ecuador
CUN
41%
28%
31%
66 70 4 0
24 May. 2024
MAN
Manta
0 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
53%
27%
20%
65 72 7 +1