CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCH
1 - 0
NAC
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
BSC
3 - 0
EME
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
EME
1 - 1
BSC
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |