Covaleda vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1328%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
COV
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 0
COV
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
COV
1 - 0
VIS
12%
18%
70%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SJE
2 - 2
COV
61%
20%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PIQ
5 - 1
COV
68%
18%
14%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
6 - 0
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
NAV
40%
22%
38%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOL
7%
15%
79%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
PIQ
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |