Tercera RFEF II - Asturias round 12

CD Colunga vs Urraca CF analysis

CD Colunga Urraca CF
25 ELO 26
-16.9% Tilt -13.4%
11254º General ELO ranking 10276º
518º Country ELO ranking 424º
ELO win probability
45.2%
CD Colunga
26.1%
Draw
28.7%
Urraca CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
CD Colunga
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
Urraca CF
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Colunga
-4%
-24%
Urraca CF

Points and table prediction

CD Colunga
Their league position
Urraca CF
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
18º
12º
18
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Oviedo Vetusta
41
83
87.5%
CD Covadonga
34
71
50.5%
Caudal Deportivo
32
66
24.5%
Sporting Atlético
28
66
30%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
26
57
33.5%
L´Entregu CF
23
51
27%
UC Ceares
14º
18
46
15%
CD Tuilla
21
46
16%
CD Praviano
10º
20
45
11%
EI San Martín
12º
19
41
10º
12.5%
CD Mosconia
20
41
11º
12%
CD Colunga
15º
18
40
12º
13.5%
Real Titánico
21
40
13º
10%
Avilés Stadium
11º
20
39
14º
11%
Urraca CF
13º
18
35
15º
14%
SD Lenense Proinastur
16º
15
31
16º
22.5%
Condal
17º
14
30
17º
30%
TSK Roces
18º
3
13
18º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
CD Colunga
Urraca CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
3% 0%
Mid-table
79% 49.5%
Relegation
18% 50.5%

ELO progression

CD Colunga
Urraca CF
CD Tuilla
EI San Martín
Condal
CD Praviano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Colunga
CD Colunga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
3 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
80%
13%
7%
25 42 17 0
10 Nov. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
4 - 0
L´Entregu CF
LEN
18%
22%
60%
21 35 14 +4
01 Nov. 2024
LEN
SD Lenense Proinastur
0 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
58%
22%
20%
20 25 5 +1
27 Oct. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 1
Avilés Stadium
AVI
38%
25%
37%
20 22 2 0
20 Oct. 2024
MOS
CD Mosconia
0 - 1
CD Colunga
COL
58%
23%
20%
20 26 6 0

Matches

Urraca CF
Urraca CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
1 - 3
Real Oviedo Vetusta
ROB
17%
22%
61%
27 42 15 0
10 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
2 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
79%
14%
7%
28 42 14 -1
03 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
4 - 0
Real Titánico
RTI
43%
25%
32%
26 25 1 +2
27 Oct. 2024
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
59%
24%
18%
27 35 8 -1
20 Oct. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
2 - 2
CD Tuilla
TUI
41%
25%
34%
27 26 1 0