Tercera RFEF II - Asturias round 12

CD Colunga vs Urraca CF analysis

CD Colunga Urraca CF
26 ELO 28
-16.9% Tilt -13.4%
7144º General ELO ranking 7585º
447º Country ELO ranking 519º
ELO win probability
45.2%
CD Colunga
26.1%
Draw
28.7%
Urraca CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
CD Colunga
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
Urraca CF
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Colunga
+36%
-33%
Urraca CF

Points and table prediction

CD Colunga
Their league position
Urraca CF
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
18º
10º
20
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Oviedo Vetusta
60
86
98.5%
Sporting Atlético
48
74
38.5%
Caudal Deportivo
52
73
27.5%
CD Covadonga
46
69
59.5%
CD Mosconia
41
55
52.5%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
34
54
35.5%
L´Entregu CF
33
50
27.5%
CD Tuilla
29
46
24%
UC Ceares
11º
26
43
17.5%
CD Colunga
10º
28
42
10º
12.5%
Avilés Stadium
30
41
11º
14.5%
Real Titánico
12º
25
39
12º
13%
EI San Martín
14º
23
37
13º
17%
CD Praviano
13º
24
36
14º
17.5%
Urraca CF
15º
20
32
15º
23%
SD Lenense Proinastur
16º
20
31
16º
24%
Condal
17º
19
30
17º
33.5%
TSK Roces
18º
5
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Colunga
Urraca CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
1% 0%
Mid-table
95.5% 32%
Relegation
3.5% 68%

ELO progression

CD Colunga
Urraca CF
CD Tuilla
Avilés Stadium
CD Mosconia
L´Entregu CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Colunga
CD Colunga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
3 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
80%
13%
7%
26 44 18 0
10 Nov. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
4 - 0
L´Entregu CF
LEN
18%
22%
60%
22 37 15 +4
01 Nov. 2024
LEN
SD Lenense Proinastur
0 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
58%
22%
20%
22 26 4 0
27 Oct. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 1
Avilés Stadium
AVI
38%
25%
37%
22 24 2 0
20 Oct. 2024
MOS
CD Mosconia
0 - 1
CD Colunga
COL
58%
23%
20%
21 27 6 +1

Matches

Urraca CF
Urraca CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
1 - 3
Real Oviedo Vetusta
ROB
17%
22%
61%
29 44 15 0
10 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
2 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
79%
14%
7%
30 43 13 -1
03 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
4 - 0
Real Titánico
RTI
43%
25%
32%
28 26 2 +2
27 Oct. 2024
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
59%
24%
18%
29 36 7 -1
20 Oct. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
2 - 2
CD Tuilla
TUI
41%
25%
34%
29 28 1 0