Tercera RFEF II - Asturias round 12

CD Colunga vs Urraca CF analysis

CD Colunga Urraca CF
25 ELO 27
-16.9% Tilt -13.4%
5689º General ELO ranking 5884º
438º Country ELO ranking 468º
ELO win probability
45.2%
CD Colunga
26.1%
Draw
28.7%
Urraca CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
CD Colunga
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
Urraca CF
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Colunga
+20%
-23%
Urraca CF

Points and table prediction

CD Colunga
Their league position
Urraca CF
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
18º
10º
18
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Oviedo Vetusta
45
81
82.5%
Sporting Atlético
37
71
35%
CD Covadonga
37
70
25%
Caudal Deportivo
37
68
39.5%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
28
55
37.5%
L´Entregu CF
27
52
24%
CD Tuilla
24
48
15.5%
UC Ceares
11º
21
45
18%
CD Mosconia
26
44
10.5%
CD Colunga
10º
21
42
10º
9.5%
CD Praviano
14º
20
41
11º
12%
Real Titánico
12º
21
39
12º
8%
EI San Martín
13º
20
38
13º
14.5%
Avilés Stadium
22
38
14º
15%
Urraca CF
15º
18
36
15º
12.5%
Condal
16º
17
33
16º
19.5%
SD Lenense Proinastur
17º
16
31
17º
35%
TSK Roces
18º
4
13
18º
97%
Expected probabilities
CD Colunga
Urraca CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
1.5% 0%
Mid-table
82.5% 61%
Relegation
16% 39%

ELO progression

CD Colunga
Urraca CF
Real Oviedo Vetusta
Real Titánico
CD Mosconia
Caudal Deportivo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Colunga
CD Colunga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
3 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
80%
13%
7%
25 43 18 0
10 Nov. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
4 - 0
L´Entregu CF
LEN
18%
22%
60%
21 36 15 +4
01 Nov. 2024
LEN
SD Lenense Proinastur
0 - 0
CD Colunga
COL
58%
22%
20%
21 25 4 0
27 Oct. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 1
Avilés Stadium
AVI
38%
25%
37%
21 23 2 0
20 Oct. 2024
MOS
CD Mosconia
0 - 1
CD Colunga
COL
58%
23%
20%
20 26 6 +1

Matches

Urraca CF
Urraca CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
1 - 3
Real Oviedo Vetusta
ROB
17%
22%
61%
28 43 15 0
10 Nov. 2024
COV
CD Covadonga
2 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
79%
14%
7%
29 43 14 -1
03 Nov. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
4 - 0
Real Titánico
RTI
43%
25%
32%
27 25 2 +2
27 Oct. 2024
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 0
Urraca CF
URR
59%
24%
18%
28 35 7 -1
20 Oct. 2024
URR
Urraca CF
2 - 2
CD Tuilla
TUI
41%
25%
34%
28 27 1 0