DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19 vs UD Santa Marta U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
4º
12
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 73 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 67 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 67 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 60 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 57 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 39 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 30 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 27 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 22 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
COL
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
PUE
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NUM
2 - 2
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COL
3 - 2
CDP
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 2
COL
27%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
ZAM
53%
22%
26%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAN
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
LEO
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
SAN
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
CIA
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |