MLS Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Chivas USA vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RSL
1 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
HOD
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
COR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SJE
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 3
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RSL
1 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
RSL
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RSL
3 - 1
DAL
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
RSL
1 - 1
RBN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NER
2 - 2
RSL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |