Castroverde vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOC
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MDC
1 - 2
CAS
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
LIE
51%
21%
29%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 2
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
VEL
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
MDC
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
8 - 0
SJU
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIO
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |