CD Castellón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MAL
2 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
CAS
0 - 0
EXT
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 1
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAS
1 - 1
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 0
CCF
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 2
SFE
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
MUR
0 - 1
HER
64%
18%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |