Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-0
CD Castellón vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1987 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ELC
2 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOG
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
CAS
1 - 0
OVI
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDT
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
RBU
1 - 1
RAC
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RAC
0 - 2
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 1
RAC
45%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RAC
4 - 1
OVI
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |