CD Castellón vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
32%
28%
39%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CEP
3 - 2
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 2
ONT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 0
YEC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
OVI
2 - 0
LOR
78%
16%
7%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
HOS
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |