Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
CD Castellón vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAS
1 - 2
OVI
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
GIM
0 - 1
CAS
41%
31%
29%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 0
CAS
48%
24%
27%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
CAS
2 - 1
UES
62%
25%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
43%
30%
27%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
REC
7 - 0
CUL
48%
29%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
CUL
2 - 0
MLL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 0
CAS
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
CDT
3 - 0
CUL
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
CUL
2 - 1
VAD
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |