Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-2
CD Castellón vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CAS
3 - 0
HER
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
COL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEP
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAD
0 - 0
CAS
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
CAS
0 - 2
UES
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CEL
0 - 0
RSO
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
GRA
1 - 0
CEL
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CEL
2 - 0
SEV
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
VCF
2 - 1
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
CEL
2 - 0
RMA
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |