Carrion vs Barruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CER
15%
17%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAR
34%
21%
45%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAL
22%
22%
56%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UDB
3 - 3
CAR
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 4
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 8
VIL
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
1 - 2
CDF
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 2
VDB
17%
19%
64%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
5 - 2
UDB
59%
18%
23%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |