CP Carbonero vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Carbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
ESR
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAR
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COC
3 - 0
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
TUR
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
SLO
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOZ
3 - 4
SLO
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
4 - 2
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
5 - 2
SLO
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
SLO
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |