CD Canillas vs CDF Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
17º
16º
19
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 72 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 59 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 57 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 51 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 45 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 42 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 26 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
67% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CVI
0 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
GAL
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CDF Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 4
ALC
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 1
TRC
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TRC
3 - 1
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RVB
3 - 1
TRC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 2
LEG
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |