CD Canillas vs Paracuellos MX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
15º
13º
45
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRJ
0 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
CDM
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CVI
2 - 1
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
POZ
33%
26%
40%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paracuellos MX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 3
POZ
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GET
0 - 0
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDE
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
ALC
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |