CD Canillas vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
17º
17º
2
8º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 64 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 63 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 62 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 60 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 54 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 53 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 52 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 50 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 45 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 42 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 35 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 32 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
17º
|
36% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 18 |
18º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CVI
0 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
GAL
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
3 - 2
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALC
16%
22%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RVB
5 - 0
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 4
LEG
15%
21%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |