CD Buzanada vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
17º
15º
21
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 73 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 71 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 64 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 55 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 47 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 47 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 26 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Buzanada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
CDB
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDT
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
CDB
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 1
LPA
18%
22%
61%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VSB
2 - 0
CDB
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 2
MAR
64%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 2
PAS
24%
27%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 3
CDM
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
SDT
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 4
CDT
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |