A. Peñaflor vs Cigales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
REN
3 - 3
ATL
65%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 5
ATL
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
ZAR
46%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cigales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
5 - 1
CIG
50%
22%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CIG
0 - 2
UNI
17%
20%
63%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
CIG
46%
22%
32%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CIG
2 - 1
ZAR
32%
23%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
CIG
80%
13%
7%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |