Cd Arces vs V. Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
2 - 2
CDA
64%
19%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
BUD
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
CDA
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 3
SEG
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 2
CIA
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
V. Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
18%
20%
62%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 0
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
CDP
24%
22%
55%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ACF
3 - 3
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
NUM
19%
20%
60%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |