CD Alfaro vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 1
ALF
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ALF
3 - 1
CDO
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RCF
1 - 0
ALF
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
OSA
0 - 1
ALF
41%
30%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ALF
3 - 0
RSO
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
LOG
1 - 2
RUN
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RUN
0 - 0
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 2
RUN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RUN
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RUN
0 - 0
RCF
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |