CD Alesves vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
14º
16º
15º
55
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alesves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDA
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 0
CDA
67%
20%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
OBE
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
VAL
20%
22%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 2
CDA
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SUB
5 - 1
LAG
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SUB
1 - 0
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
COR
1 - 3
SUB
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAM
0 - 2
SUB
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |