CD Alameda MESA Sub 19 vs Odelot Toletum Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
15º
7º
26
4º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alameda MESA Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CFT
2 - 1
ALA
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
CDG
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EFF
1 - 0
ALA
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Odelot Toletum Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ODE
4 - 1
JES
32%
21%
47%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ODE
1 - 6
UBC
12%
17%
71%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CFT
2 - 1
ODE
42%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ODE
4 - 2
CDT
26%
21%
53%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
ODE
80%
12%
8%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |