Caxias do Sul vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 0
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
POR
4 - 5
CAX
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 2
CAX
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 1
ISM
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SLU
2 - 1
NOV
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 2
VER
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 2
NOV
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |