Cavalier vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
7º
2º
43
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
HAR
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 2
CAV
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 0
ARN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 3
CAV
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
WAT
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
LIM
85%
10%
4%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 2
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 1
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |