Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
Caudal Deportivo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAU
19%
27%
54%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CAU
2 - 0
LUG
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
PON
1 - 0
CAU
69%
21%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CAU
3 - 0
GIM
45%
30%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
LUG
1 - 1
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
1 - 3
PON
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAU
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 1
AVI
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
2 - 0
SSC
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |