Catania vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CAT
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 0
SAM
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
TOR
3 - 1
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
TOR
0 - 1
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
TOR
3 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |