Catania vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAS
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PES
3 - 0
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PES
1 - 1
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
FER
2 - 1
PES
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PES
1 - 0
SAS
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |