Catania vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.8%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAT
0 - 1
VER
39%
32%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
CAT
0 - 0
ACM
13%
26%
61%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ROM
5 - 0
CAT
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
NAP
3 - 0
BOL
46%
30%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
54%
28%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
VER
0 - 2
NAP
40%
28%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
69%
21%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |