Serie A round 30

Catania vs Napoli analysis

Catania Napoli
66 ELO 84
-28.7% Tilt -18.7%
2150º General ELO ranking 19º
58º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.6%
Catania
31.8%
Draw
44.6%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
Catania
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.8%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
44.6%
Win probability
Napoli
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catania
-2%
-2%
Napoli

ELO progression

Catania
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catania
Catania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 1971
TOR
Torino
1 - 1
Catania
CAT
79%
15%
6%
65 82 17 0
02 May. 1971
CAT
Catania
0 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
39%
32%
29%
65 72 7 0
25 Apr. 1971
CAT
Catania
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
13%
26%
61%
65 88 23 0
18 Apr. 1971
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Catania
CAT
73%
18%
9%
65 84 19 0
11 Apr. 1971
ROM
Roma
5 - 0
Catania
CAT
74%
18%
8%
65 79 14 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 1971
NAP
Napoli
3 - 0
Bologna
BOL
46%
30%
23%
84 83 1 0
02 May. 1971
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
52%
27%
21%
84 84 0 0
25 Apr. 1971
NAP
Napoli
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
54%
28%
18%
84 79 5 0
18 Apr. 1971
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
40%
28%
31%
84 72 12 0
11 Apr. 1971
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
69%
21%
11%
84 88 4 0