Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
3 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
ATP
1 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
FAN
0 - 0
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
VIC
0 - 0
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
REG
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
VNZ
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |