Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
PIS
41%
31%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 4
BOL
46%
31%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
USC
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
53%
29%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
JUV
0 - 0
LAZ
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PES
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
MES
2 - 0
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |