Catania vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
9º
6º
14
10º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 77 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 66 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 65 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 65 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 64 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 60 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 58 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 58 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 53 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 50 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 47 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 44 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 43 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 42 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 42 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 40 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
19º
|
9 | 37 |
18º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 36 |
19º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
64.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
USF
2 - 2
CAT
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASD
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 0
AUD
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 2
ASD
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
LAT
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 1
SSC
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
LAT
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
MES
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |