Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
VIG
0 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 1
TAR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAG
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |