Catania vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
44%
32%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAT
77%
18%
5%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAT
68%
23%
10%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAT
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
LEC
3 - 2
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
NOV
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |