Castro vs Trasmiera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BEZ
2 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAS
18%
25%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trasmiera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 1
SIE
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ALB
0 - 0
TRA
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
TRA
1 - 0
RIB
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GIM
3 - 0
TRA
78%
16%
7%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 0
LAR
35%
26%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |