Castro vs SD Barreda Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAS
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 2
TUR
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
SPB
6 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
CAS
3 - 1
SMA
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Barreda Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
BAR
0 - 0
SMA
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BAR
4 - 1
SIE
51%
26%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
TUR
3 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPB
43%
30%
28%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
SMA
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |