Castiliscar vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiliscar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIN
22%
19%
59%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 2
SAN
20%
20%
60%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
UNC
39%
21%
41%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOQ
3 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 4
BOQ
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 3
BAR
18%
19%
62%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
PUY
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EBC
0 - 1
BAR
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
LUN
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |