Castellanzese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
BUS
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
INV
2 - 0
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOL
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 1
CAS
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 4
CAR
80%
12%
7%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |