Castanhal vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
JCA
82%
14%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
TUN
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
FPI
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 0
TOC
85%
12%
3%
|
37 | 83 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
TOC
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |