Castanhal vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
TPA
0 - 0
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
REC
0 - 1
CAS
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 0
PEC
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
REM
1 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 0
CAS
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
PEC
1 - 5
PAY
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
PAY
1 - 0
ANA
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
PAY
1 - 2
REM
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TPA
0 - 5
PAY
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
PAY
1 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |