Castanet vs Lège-Cap-Ferret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
7º
10
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 49 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 44 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 42 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 37 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 37 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 34 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 34 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 34 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 26 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COL
8 - 1
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
FCP
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAS
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
GDB
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
FCA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEG
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
COL
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEG
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |