Casetas vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
UDC
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UDC
0 - 3
ALC
35%
28%
38%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALC
4 - 1
UDC
62%
23%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SSR
2 - 1
UDC
54%
24%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDC
1 - 0
CDT
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CFP
3 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 0
CFP
53%
27%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 0
CUL
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MIR
1 - 0
CFP
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CFP
3 - 2
ATB
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |