Pref. Aragon round 22

Casetas vs Cariñena Atl. analysis

Casetas Cariñena Atl.
18 ELO 16
-5.3% Tilt -6.3%
12309º General ELO ranking 14683º
699º Country ELO ranking 1823º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Casetas
20.9%
Draw
24.2%
Cariñena Atl.

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
Casetas
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.2%
Win probability
Cariñena Atl.
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Casetas
+27%
-27%
Cariñena Atl.

ELO progression

Casetas
Cariñena Atl.
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Casetas
Casetas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2024
ACF
Alcañiz
2 - 0
Casetas
UDC
47%
23%
30%
19 19 0 0
11 Feb. 2024
UDC
Casetas
1 - 1
Cella
CEL
74%
16%
10%
19 13 6 0
04 Feb. 2024
ATL
Atlético Escalerillas
2 - 1
Casetas
UDC
18%
21%
61%
20 14 6 -1
28 Jan. 2024
UDC
Casetas
4 - 1
CF Villa De Alagón
CFV
81%
13%
6%
20 11 9 0
21 Jan. 2024
UDC
Casetas
1 - 0
CD La Almunia
LAA
34%
24%
43%
19 23 4 +1

Matches

Cariñena Atl.
Cariñena Atl.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2024
CAR
Cariñena Atl.
3 - 0
CD Mequinenza
CDM
67%
18%
15%
15 12 3 0
11 Feb. 2024
MAG
AD Magallon
2 - 1
Cariñena Atl.
CAR
44%
23%
33%
15 17 2 0
04 Feb. 2024
ATC
At. Calatayud
1 - 1
Cariñena Atl.
CAR
66%
18%
16%
15 21 6 0
28 Jan. 2024
CAR
Cariñena Atl.
0 - 2
Alcañiz
ACF
44%
23%
33%
16 17 1 -1
21 Jan. 2024
CAR
Cariñena Atl.
5 - 2
Cella
CEL
61%
20%
19%
15 13 2 +1