Casertana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
85%
12%
3%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 2
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
FCS
83%
13%
5%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAT
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |