Casertana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAS
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
VNZ
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
UDI
2 - 2
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAD
36%
31%
34%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
CES
2 - 1
PIA
65%
22%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
UDI
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |